World News Tomorrow – World News
An OPEC experts meeting last week saw the latest clash between Saudi Arabia and Iran again. Saudi Arabia will drive up oil production if Iran keeps pushing it s production up. The idea behind regulating the oil output is to control the oil prices on the market. However if parties involved feel others do not follow-up on agreements a clash is to be expected.
In an article on Reuters it is clear both countries are not in favor of one another and this oil dispute is one of the many between both countries.
All OPEC oil producing countries are capable of raising their output but this will have serious consequences to the oil prices and have a destabilizing effect on the oil production in the world.
The dispute however between Iran and Saudi Arabia goes much deeper. The countries have a difficult relationship going back for many centuries and the recent oil dispute is a clash between the countries that have difficulties in accepting their co-existence.
The rivalry between the two countries is felt in every conflict in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia consisting mostly of Sunni Muslims and Iran has a mostly Shi’ite Muslim population.
In 1996 the Khobar Towers Bombing led to renewed tensions. A US court decided later in 2006 the Khobar bombing was orchestrated by Iran and Hezbollah.
Both countries accuse each other of backing opposing parties in recent wars and conflicts outside of their countries. Like the war in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq even stretching their influences in one way or another outside the Middle East boundaries.
The question is, should we worry a conflict between the two countries leading to war? The Middle East region is already the scene of a war where global superpowers mingle with national bodies. What opportunities both countries see in this conflict that can lead to expansion or drive to further damage their relationship?
The attack on the Saudi Embassy in Teheran Iran in January this year was the result of announced executions of 47 people in Saudi Arabia including a Shi’ite religious leader. Four others were said to be Shi’ite too.
According to Saudi Arabia however these people were linked to Al-Qaeda and responsible for attacks in Saudi Arabia from 2003 to 2006
Recent development is the Iranian backed Shi’ite militias in the battle for Mosul. Leading to severe tensions in the region of northern Iraq. Mosul had, before ISIS took control a mainstream Sunni Muslim population. With a variety of ethnicities of which the Turkmens are of special interest to Turkey.
One can speculate on the involvement of Iran by backing up the Shi’ite militias but it is unlikely they are interested in the liberation of Sunni Muslims.
To ease on the conflict Saudi Arabia and the US have agreed on the 12th of October to grant free passage to 9.000 ISIS militants and allow them to redeploy themselves in Syria. This caused a harsh reaction from Syrian government who accuses both US and Saudi Arabia to allow ISIS Jihadists to join the battle in their country.
We can only hope that both countries can find ways back to the diplomatic table but that way back will be far from easy.
By Editor in Chief