World stock markets in Trouble

WORLD NEWS TOMORROW – BANGKOK: World stock markets fell Friday as weakness in Chinese manufacturing suggested the slowdown in the world’s No. 2 economy may worsen, unsettling investors ahead of crucial U.S. employment figures. The state affiliated China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said its purchasing managers index fell 2.9 percentage points to 50.4 per cent in May, just above the 50 level that signifies expansion in manufacturing. The index was at 53.3 in April. A second survey by HSBC that is more focused on exporters showed manufacturing continuing to contract.

The Chinese data comes ahead of the monthly U.S. employment report which gives a strong albeit lagging indication of the strength of the recovery in the world’s No. 1 economy. With Europe struggling and China slowing, investors are hoping the U.S. might provide some positive news that could break the recent slide in global stock markets.

European shares were mixed in early trading. Britain’s FTSE 100 rose 0.2 per cent to 5,322.69 but Germany’s DAX lost 1.1 per cent at 6,198.78. France’s CAC-40 slipped 0.3 per cent to 3,006.84.

U.S. futures augured a lower opening on Wall Street. Dow Jones industrial futures fell 0.6 per cent to 12,315 and S&P 500 futures were 0.8 per cent lower at 1,299.20.

The sell-off began earlier in the day in Asia. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index fell 1.2 per cent to close at 8,440.25 and South Korea’s Kospi dropped 0.5 per cent to 1,835.51.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index lost 0.3 per cent to 4,063.90. Benchmarks in Singapore, Taiwan, Indonesia, India and New Zealand were also lower.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng ended 0.4 per cent lower at 18,558.34 after briefly posting gains amid hopes for stimulus measures by the Chinese government. Mainland Chinese shares were flat.

“The (Chinese) data is so bad, and so clearly points to slowdown of growth momentum, that it will likely help convince policy-makers that the economy needs more stimulus,” Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior economist at Credit Agricole CIB in Hong Kong, said in an email.

“We still do not expect announcement of a big number ‘package’ like during the Lehman crisis, but rather a series of measures to stimulate infrastructure spending and lending.”

Meanwhile, there is still no agreement over how to solve Europe’s debt crisis. Stronger countries like Germany want governments to cut spending, but voters in weaker countries like Greece have shown they are in no mood for more fiscal pain.

The head of the European Central Bank told European Union leaders Thursday that the 17-country euro currency union is unsustainable in its current form.

The euro has fallen nearly 7 per cent in May as Europe’s debt crisis intensified. The likelihood of Greece leaving the euro grew in early May when parties opposed to the terms of the country’s financial rescue won at the polls. New elections are planned for next month.

This week, Spain became the new focus of the crisis after its borrowing rates soared to nearly 7 per cent, a level that is considered unsustainable for a country to continue funding itself by selling bonds to investors. Greece, Portugal and Ireland were forced to ask for financial aid after their rates went over 7 per cent.

In the U.S. on Thursday, the government said the number of people applying for unemployment benefits rose to a five-week high. Additionally, private businesses added 133,000 jobs last month, a figure disappointed most economists.

When the government issues its critical report Friday on May employment, economists expect it to say that employers added 158,000 jobs. That would be better than in the past two months but far below the winter’s pace of 252,000 jobs per month. They also expect no change in the unemployment rate, which was 8.1 per cent in April.

“Unemployment and nonfarm payroll will be key,” said Jackson Wong, vice-president of Tanrich Securities in Hong Kong. “We are already prepared for a weak number because of yesterday’s reports. So I think now everything is down to the news from Europe.”

Airline stocks benefited from falling oil prices, which makes fuelling their fleets less expensive. China Southern Airlines gained 4.8 per cent while South Korea’s Asiana Airlines jumped 5.5 per cent.

Benchmark oil for July delivery was down 57 cents to $85.97 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $1.29 to settle at $86.53 in New York on Thursday.

In currencies, the euro fell to $1.2341 from $1.2366 late Thursday in New York. The dollar rose to 78.35 yen from 78.33 yen.

 

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